NLL Fantasy: Steals & Stretches for Week 4

ILIndoor looks at some potential steals and stretches for your fantasy rosters this weekend.
ILIndoor looks at some potential steals and stretches for your fantasy rosters this weekend.

That great fantasy wheel in the sky keeps on spinning as we enter the fourth week of the 2013 NLL season. And it’s no surprise to see some of the names we’re more than familiar with at the top of the fantasy points charts. John Grant Jr., priced at $25, is the highest valued player, and he’s averaging a big 24.5 fantasy points in just two contests. And of course, in terms of price tag, he’s followed by the likes of Dan Dawson, Garrett Billings, Rhys Duch and a list of the other top scorers in the league.

But it’s a new season still, and we’ve already seen that young bucks like Mark Matthews, Dhane Smith and Curtis Knight have established themselves as formidable threats and certainly attractive options if you’re looking to make improvements to your fantasy roster heading into this weekend. As we move through the season, we’ll try to keep this post fresh, taking a different approach to offering you advice. Take it for what it’s worth. Here’s a look at some names who could be considered “steals” or “stretches” — all of whom could completely prove me incorrect — based on their performance so far and their price tags heading into the weekend.

Steals???

Mark Matthews, F, Edmonton Rush, $17 – No way around it. The guy’s already tearing it up, and his price tag has yet to really catch up to where he’s at. Get in while the gettin’s good here. He could be in the $22-24 range if he keeps this up.

Joel White, T, Philadelphia Wings, $6 – If his performance against Toronto was a coming out party, White could be a nice grab at $6 considering he’s got the athleticism and the guts to make things happen in loose ball situations. He put up 13 fantasy points last week.

Curtis Knight, F, Edmonton Rush, $13 – He’s produced 30 fantasy points in two games, having a solid first couple of weeks in the league. This guy’s scored 4 goals on just 9 shots. Definitely could see more shots coming his way, and he’s worth the investment.

Shawn Evans, F, Calgary Roughnecks, $23 - It’s real tough to consider any of the high-priced elite forwards real bargains. But if I had to look to one of them, it might be Shawn Evans. Given that he’s played just two games, he Grant and Billings are all comparable in price and production (he’s put up 1 less fantasy point than Junior, and 3 more than Billings, but is $2 less than Junior and $1 less than Billings). If you can get similar production out of Evans, which seems to keep happening, it might be a great way to save a couple dollars, which can go a long way, and maybe still get 20+ points.

Shayne Jackson, F, Minnesota Swarm, $13 – If the rookie can produce another big night like he did against Buffalo (19 points) in an impressive first game in the league, he’s a great bargain here. Could be a STEAL.

Stretches???

Dan Dawson, F, Rochester Knighthawks, $23 – Hate to do it to him again, but he’s a proven player and he knows his fantasy points probably aren’t up to snuff yet for his price tag. Guy’s still finding his rhythm in Roch. Give Dangerous Dan some time. Just maybe stay away until he’s clicking with his new team.

Dane Dobbie, F, Calgary Roughnecks, $19 – This guy’s a skilled scorer, and he’s just getting back into the swing of things. But if you look at what he did this past weekend (10 fantasy points) and that he averaged about 14 points last year. Until he’s producing more and on a consistent basis, he feels like a stretch at this price.

Jeff Reynolds, D, Philadelphia Wings, $11 – We know Reynolds is outstanding at the dot, the proof being that he’s won 21 of 33 so far. But with one of league’s most athletic rosters, will Reynolds pull in all those loosies himself? That’s been a big part of his value since entering the league. He’s put up just 15 fantasy points in two games. Though we might seem to be splitting hairs here, he’s the second-highest priced defender and hasn’t produced a healthy return on his investment yet (hence his drop in value since last week). The flip side? If he starts pulling in those face-off wins himself, it won’t take him much to provide value to your roster.

Kyle Rubisch, D, Edmonton Rush, $11 – Nothing against Rubisch, but like Reynolds, these high-priced defenders are a bit of a stretch only because the bulk of their points realistically have to come from looseballs. We all know that it’s not going to necessarily be a huge loosie night EVERY night for the top defenders, and scoring only comes so often. That being the case, and it is painful to say it, even the hands-down best defender in the league is a stretch at $11. This is why you’ll see plenty of fantasy team managers going after very low-priced D guys, which helps you allocate more $ to forwards and transition dudes.

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